Have global PMI new orders peaked? November 13, 2026 OECD leading indicators and equity market rotation support the message of moderation from money trends. Read More
“Excess” money and momentum investing November 6, 2026 Momentum has worked as an equity investment style historically but the addition of a monetary overlay could result in superior risk-adjusted returns. Read More
Surprising US monetary strength October 28, 2026 Divergent US / rest of G7 money trends signal US economic outperformance and misaligned monetary policies. Read More
Why the UK MPC should stand pat October 23, 2026 Monetary trends suggest a minor and short-lived inflation upswing. Read More
Strong showing from Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil’s first round of presidential elections sends stocks flying October 22, 2026 Following a sharp election-driven rally, we revisit the case for Brazilian equities and what could come next. Read More
Monetary news still weakening October 20, 2026 A suggested further fall in global real money momentum strengthens conviction in a coming PMI decline. Read More
UK house prices: (much) more downside October 13, 2026 A comparison with index-linked gilts suggests that house prices are as expensive as at the start of the crash phase of the last 18-year housing cycle. Read More
A “monetarist” perspective on current equity markets October 7, 2026 Monetary trends suggest a peak in economic momentum and less liquidity support for markets. Read More
What explains the bond bear? October 1, 2026 The recent rise in global government bond yields reflects a restrictive shift in global “excess” money conditions. Read More
International Equity Strategy Commentary September 30, 2026 Strategy Commentary for Q1 2024 on the International Equity Strategy Read More
Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy Commentary September 30, 2026 Strategy Commentary for Q1 2024 on the Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy Read More
Quarterly Liquidity Insight September 30, 2026 Q1 2024 Quarterly Market Liquidity for Emerging Markets Read More
Global money update: August weakness September 25, 2026 Monetary trends may be starting to confirm a negative 2027 economic outlook suggested by cycle analysis. Read More
Are we all emerging markets now? September 17, 2026 China’s export machine risks provoking a political backlash among trading partners struggling to absorb a glut of high-end manufactured goods. Read More
Cycle update: expected 2027 weakness crystallising September 17, 2026 The short-term stockbuilding cycle is rolling over with the long-term housing cycle on track to accelerate into a 2027-28 low. Read More