UK inflation: “monetarist” optimism on track November 19, 2025 Inflation is realigning with lagged money trends as policy distortions fade. Read More
Chinese money update: lacklustre outlook November 14, 2025 October money / credit numbers were mixed, suggesting a continuation of sluggish economic growth. Read More
Flows before pros? November 10, 2025 Structural liquidity and investor flows are reshaping market dynamics and asset prices in emerging markets. Read More
Manufacturing roll-over? November 6, 2025 The forecast of an inflection weaker in global manufacturing PMI new orders is supported by the “internals” of the latest survey. Read More
Global money update: slowdown on pause October 29, 2025 Global six-month real narrow money momentum recovered for a second month in September, though remains below a March peak. Read More
Eurozone money update: sluggish as she goes October 28, 2025 Monetary trends continue to cast doubt on economic optimism. Read More
Are global monetary “buffers” exhausted? October 21, 2025 A modified “monetarist” approach suggests that money stocks are no longer exerting an upward pull on nominal GDP and asset prices. Read More
Rallying EM equities led by re-rating potential in perennially cheap South Korean equities October 17, 2025 Large caps lead EM higher, and South Korea’s Value-Up is still in play. Read More
Chinese money update: steady as she goes October 17, 2025 Chinese money trends suggest a continuation of sluggish economic growth and a supportive liquidity environment for markets. Read More
Monetary risks from private credit October 14, 2025 Credit tightening in private markets may mark the end of a boom in US bank lending to shadow banks, with negative monetary implications. Read More
A “monetarist” perspective on current equity markets October 7, 2025 Recent slower money growth is consistent with a cyclical perspective suggesting economic / market weakness in 2026-27. Read More
International Equity Strategy Commentary September 30, 2025 Strategy Commentary for Q1 2024 on the International Equity Strategy Read More
Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy Commentary September 30, 2025 Strategy Commentary for Q1 2024 on the Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy Read More
Quarterly Liquidity Insight September 30, 2025 Q1 2024 Quarterly Market Liquidity for Emerging Markets Read More
Unpleasant UK fiscal arithmetic September 25, 2025 The November Budget needs to deliver an early return to a primary surplus to calm fears of a fiscal doom loop. Read More