A cynical view of central bank money-speak July 22, 2026 References to money trends in Fed and Bank of England reports represent tokenism, with no implications for policy. Read More
BPM speaks with Michael Mortimore about China’s challenges and opportunities July 20, 2026 Reassessing China’s risk for EM investors. Read More
Japan’s QT disaster July 9, 2026 The BoJ’s bond disposals are crushing money growth, threatening a return to deflation. Read More
A “monetarist” perspective on current equity markets July 2, 2026 The monetary backdrop for markets has become less favourable, while a pick-up in US money growth suggests rising medium-term inflation risks. Read More
Are equities stalling? June 25, 2026 The “excess” money backdrop for markets has become less favourable, with mixed prospects for H2. Read More
Semiconductor lollapalooza stumbles June 17, 2026 Semiconductors wobble as macro risk, momentum, leverage and crowding collide. Read More
More slowdown signals June 9, 2026 OECD leading indicator data and survey evidence on stocks support the forecast of a H2 loss of industrial momentum. Read More
Alarming Eurozone / UK money data June 2, 2026 April money numbers signal rising recession risk and suggest that policy-makers should be considering easing not tightening. Read More
Is earnings momentum peaking? May 27, 2026 An expected fall in global manufacturing PMI new orders suggests a moderation, at least, in current earnings strength. Read More
Rallying EM equities reflect an AI-powered earnings surge May 20, 2026 The AI boom is powering emerging market equities, led by South Korean DRAM giants which are now among the most profitable companies in the world. Read More
Policy perversity May 7, 2026 The policy biases of the Fed, ECB and Bank of England are opposite to those warranted by economic / monetary conditions. Read More
Global money update: inflation squeeze May 6, 2026 Global six-month real narrow money growth is slowing from a January-February peak, suggesting a loss of economic momentum during H2. Read More
Rising Eurozone recession risk April 29, 2026 The April ECB bank lending survey signals an “endogenous” tightening of monetary conditions. Read More
Semis and the stockbuilding cycle April 23, 2026 A surge in prices of electronic components is another indication of a cycle peak. Read More